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Chart of the Week: Fertility vs. Trump Vote
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Chart of the Week: Fertility vs. Trump Vote

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Demography Unplugged
Nov 26, 2024
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Demography Unplugged
Demography Unplugged
Chart of the Week: Fertility vs. Trump Vote
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Source: CDC; AP; Hedgeye

In the 2024 presidential election, there was a strong relationship between a state’s total fertility rate and the share of voters who supported Trump, with a correlation coefficient of 0.72. In other words, the Trumpier the state, the higher the fertility. (Note: The most recent data for state TFRs is from 2022.)

The average TFR f…

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