This post is for paid subscribers and contains the August edition of All About the Indicators, which was originally published last week. It runs just under an hour. You can view the presentation below.
I take viewers through the whole waterfront of recognized macro recession signals and explain how to assess their various strengths and weaknesses. Some indicators are high likelihood but have short time horizons. Others are lower likelihood but give us a better perspective on our location in the business cycle. After this overview, I explain which indicators I think are most helpful and offer my view on the current recession outlook.